Ada Palmer and the Weird Hand of Progress

The sci-fi author writes about the 25th century and teaches college students about the 15th. The past we think we know is wrong, she says—and so is the future.
Ada Palmer stands in front of a stained glass window
Photograph: EVAN SHEEHAN AND ALEX WALLBAUM

Dystopias rarely interest the sci-fi author Ada Palmer.

They have too much moral clarity for her taste: Times are bad, the badness is well defined, and in fighting it people can delude themselves into thinking they know the right way to act. Palmer, who recently published the fourth and final book in her Terra Ignota series—a brilliant, ambitious, exhausting 25th-century epic—does not believe that the future will be bad or good. It will be “weird,” she says. Also “scary and uncomfortable.”

The world of Terra Ignota dispenses with a lot of 21st-century preoccupations. Global peace has reigned for 300 years. Climate change has been solved. Technology has eliminated most needs and indignities. The age is defined by a hypersonic flying car, which makes lunch in Tokyo and dinner in Santiago a reasonable itinerary. In place of the troubled present-day nation-state, Palmer imagines a system of seven Hives, groups of people spread across an effectively borderless world who choose to adhere to the same general laws and values. The Utopian Hive, which is the one Palmer would join, believes in terraforming Mars, conquering death, and working 20 hours a week at peak potential.

Yet the Palmerverse is also an uneasy place. Society has banned discussion of religion and gender, finding silence a suitable antidote to intolerance. Innovation has slowed; the spirit of exploration has dimmed. Humanity remains centuries away from a terraformed Mars, much less jaunts to distant stars. Most people have such faith in the steady-state ticking of their perfect system that they cannot see the decay around them.

This article appears in the March 2022 issue. Subscribe to WIRED.Illustration: Xemrind

Palmer's narrator, Mycroft Canner, is a paroled mass murderer with an intermittent grip on sanity who writes in the style of an 18th-century pamphleteer, complete with humble appeals to the reader, veiled swipes at censors, and pauses for Socratic dialog. His lover, who is officially deceased and hides from the authorities by posing as a dog, helps him protect an orphaned teen who can give life to inanimate objects. One reviewer described the first Terra Ignota book, Too Like the Lightning, as both a “high-concept philosophical treatise” and a “pansexual soap opera”—and that's two books before the world war begins.

Palmer, who is 40, refers to her work as “social science fiction.” Although her books are immensely popular with technologists in Silicon Valley, they have far more to say about what the existence of hypersonic cars does to the world than about how their engines operate. Other authors have worked in this mode, including Frank Herbert and Ursula K. Le Guin, both of whom wrote from a deeply anthropological perspective. What sets Palmer apart is how clearly her speculative future is tethered to real-world history. As she sees it, societal progress may be stochastic, unpredictable, but certain constants shape its course. Just not the constants most people think, and not in the way they expect.

That much Palmer has drawn from her day job as a Renaissance scholar at the University of Chicago. She is fond of saying that we know less than 1 percent of what happened 500 years ago, and at least two-thirds of what we know is wrong. To someone whose sense of history is like a topiary garden, full of shapely epochs and manicured heroes, she is the sound of an approaching chain saw. “The message people don't want is that the ideas that changed the world were not advanced by people who were trying to advance them,” she says. “This means surrendering the illusion that we will have control over what people believe 100 years from now.”

Each spring, Palmer tries to impart this lesson to her students by having them simulate a 15th-century papal conclave. She assigns them the roles of cardinals, monarchs, and assorted hangers-on, all jockeying to put their guy on the Throne of Saint Peter. She gives them note cards detailing the allegiances they hold, the favors they can trade, the children they can marry off. She expects them to reenact the proceedings with authentic ruthlessness—and with deference to the wishes of the characters they inhabit. For the actual election, they all gather in a faux-Gothic chapel on campus. Palmer gives them costumes, some of which she gets on eBay from old Shakespeare productions, some of which she sews herself.

Certain contours of the conclaves remain the same from year to year: The festering corruption of the Catholic Church always bursts into the open. The great powers of Europe always put themselves on a path toward war. Some faction comes close to clinching the vote, only to fall short, get frustrated, and become an irresponsible steward of power. (It's not unheard-of for this group to be “brutally murdered by consensus of everyone,” Palmer says.) But some outcomes are never the same. The classes elect a variety of popes, and the war itself is always different. The students can't stop the flow of history, but they can sometimes bend it.

The important thing, Palmer says, is to try. At every conclave, there is someone who thinks the assignment is dumb, or who neglects Vatican intrigue for higher concerns, like softball practice. Palmer is rarely one to show her annoyance, but her eyes grow vacant, and then a little hard, as she recalls a “bad” Jorge da Costa or a “weak” Rodrigo Borja, like a veteran theatergoer lamenting an evening wasted on a soulless Lear. “You need to get involved, otherwise you become an outsider to the ways things advance,” she says. In school, there are TAs to help get you back in the action. Not so much in life.

History is full of people who got stuck in sloth and conformity, lost their faith in a shapable future. These people will still exist in the 25th century, Palmer predicts. And she understands why: It's hard to dedicate your life to building an imperfect world. But you must play the weird hand that history deals you.

A collection of objects from Palmer's house, including a bust of Diderot, a broken-off hand from a Mary icon, and wax-sealed letters from a papal conclave simulation.

Photograph: EVAN SHEEHAN AND ALEX WALLBAUM

If there is any concept from her books that Palmer hopes will catch on, like “robot” and “cyberspace” did for other authors, it is a model of living called a bash'. The word is derived from a Japanese term, ibasho, which means “a place where you can feel like yourself.” A bash' is any combination of people—adults, children, friends, couples, polycules—who have decided to live together as a chosen family. Historically speaking, the nuclear family is a very recent invention, which makes it, in Palmer's view, an unstable isotope. The family of the future, she thinks, will include a far more diverse set of molecular arrangements.

Late last year, in a moment when the pandemic seemed to be ebbing, Palmer invited me to stay at her real-life bash'house, a ninth-floor apartment on a leafy block in Chicago's Hyde Park. When her building was constructed, in the 1920s, the units were pitched as “bungalows in the sky”—a vision of modern family living cut short by the stock market crash. An elevator deposited me directly into the apartment, where Palmer greeted me with a stiff hug. She was tall and slightly stooped, with brown hair down to her waist, her presence both monumental and demure, like a weeping angel presiding over a cemetery.

The room we were standing in, which Palmer calls the library, could have been a wing of a Florentine villa. It was flooded with an inviting golden light that illuminated the ripple of thick spines on shelves and the profiles of Grecian busts. At its center was a nest of monitors and servers, a pandemic setup that seemed borrowed from the pages of Palmer's books, where people do futuristic work amid cluttered domesticity. One bash'mate typed away at her computer there. Down the hallway, another practiced trumpet.

Palmer led me to a neighboring room, where the manga, board games, and anime figurines appeared to be quarantined. She reclined on a lumpy chaise draped in Totoro blankets. She looked over my shoulder at a multitiered aquarium and worried aloud about a recent water change. Her father kept dozens of fish tanks, and she had learned just how difficult it is to manage the balance of species, chemicals, and greenery. “I'm playing plants on hard mode,” she said.

Palmer had spent recent weeks mostly in this recumbent position and would not stray far from it during the next 24 hours. Her blood pressure was chronically low, she explained, and she felt dizzy whenever she stood up. She had just filed the paperwork to take a medical leave from the university. But lying down, her brain worked just fine—“as you can see,” she declared to me later, after a few hours of talking about Norse metaphysics.

Palmer speaks in complete paragraphs and occasionally what feel like complete lectures. (She was happy that I was recording, she said at one point, because it would save her the trouble of writing everything down.) Her voice is like the sound of an English horn, nasal and resonant, a breathy “h” forming when she says “while” or “where.” When she grows excited, pantomiming this or that haughty misreading by an old fogy of some ancient text, it rises in pitch, culminating in an incredulous laugh.

One of Palmer's closest friends, the fantasy writer Jo Walton, tells me that, for a person who thinks a lot about the progression of events, Palmer has absolutely no concept of time. She talks or writes until she discovers an afternoon has slipped by, keeping a system of alarms on her phone to make appointments. She tries to remind herself of the Utopian code of productivity (“Do less and you'll output more,” a character named Aldrin says), but she often fails.

Palmer grew up in Annapolis, Maryland, a historic town on the Chesapeake Bay that she recalls as charming and soulless. She loved learning at a young age but found school slow, frustrating, and socially difficult. “On the one hand I had friends,” she told me, sounding pensive. “On the other hand, when we were eating outside, those friends wouldn't stop the school dog from eating my lunch when I went to the bathroom.”

As a teen, Palmer began to struggle with pain she could not easily explain. She would later learn that she had developed Crohn's disease as well as polycystic ovary syndrome. The latter, a hormone disorder, also caused her to develop a mustache and the body odors of a pubescent boy, and she felt ostracized by the students at her all-girls school. She identifies now as a “masculine woman,” a term she learned from anime that is easier to convey in Japanese.

At the time, though, all she knew was that she only seemed to belong in places where being different wasn't a problem. Her father, a hardware engineer, hosted a weekly Dungeons & Dragons game where Palmer became a fixture. They went to sci-fi conventions together, where they played immersive role-playing games and she performed filks—costumed musicals set in fantasy worlds. At home, she started writing her own stories, drawing from Greek poetry and novels inflected with Norse myth. Her mother tried out Catholicism for a couple of years, and Palmer took to the faith “as a herpetologist might love reptiles”—fascinated but held at a little distance. Once, she says, she asked a priest “why there was a special school for Catholic mythology but not Norse or Greek mythology.” Of the three, Catholicism seemed to offer her the least useful advice for how to live.

And then, at age 15, relief. Palmer left high school for an early college program in western Massachusetts. She found friends who liked books and learning, a chosen family. She was cut out, she discovered, to be the ringleader, the Alpha Nerd. The bright edges of her life became the whole of it.

It was around this time that she began rereading Gene Wolfe. His own tetralogy, The Book of the New Sun, has been called the Ulysses of sci-fi fantasy, the sort of work that anchors a lot of bookshelves but hasn't necessarily been cracked open. Palmer had first encountered Wolfe's writing when she was 12, after her father gave her a gushing, nonsensical summary at a Chinese restaurant. Last year, in an introduction she wrote for a new edition of the series, Palmer compared tackling the books to learning how to tread water: “The first attempt is all laborious splashing.”

Many simply drown. The difficulty of the series, beyond its size and complexity, is that it is a study in partial knowledge and miscomprehension. The protagonist, Severian, an ex-torturer on the path of repentance, must save his world from a dying sun. But to do that, he must first decipher a higher plan for the universe. He and the reader wade together through a mysterious cosmos that operates by an unseen metaphysics, observing it and learning its rules.

Wolfe, who died in 2019, said that he wrote the books as a way of coming to grips with the complacency he saw in the world around him. People no longer thought adventurously about the future, because they had no idea how to get there. They just plodded through the present. Wolfe feared that in time this would lead to humanity's self-destruction.

“One of the things that Gene Wolfe introduced me to first, and then Voltaire a little later, was: What if Providence isn't kind and isn't, in a stock human sense, good?” Palmer said. In other words, what if there is some kind of cosmic plan, but the plan has nothing to do with us? “What can we do with that?”

Like Palmer, Wolfe was a keeper of tropical fish. In an interview years ago, he recalled a fad among his fellow hobbyists. People would try to create a self-sustaining ecosystem in the aquarium—a perfectly calibrated combination of plants, animals, and chemistry that could survive on only water and light. Then they would seal it up and leave the rest to Providence. In the end, Wolfe told the interviewer, every system would perish “in a tank full of scummy green water.”

Palmer in her eating nook, which is also where she likes to perform her songs.

Photograph: EVAN SHEEHAN AND ALEX WALLBAUM

Palmer and I assembled a lunch of granola and yogurt in her kitchen, which has a view of Lake Michigan. The water seemed to hang from the horizon over the neighboring rooftops. In winter, she told me, the howling winds from the lake kill the pepper plants that creep too close to the glass.

For years, Palmer has played a game with friends over Discord, an RPG that she meticulously devised and would discuss with me only if I agreed not to describe it in detail, to avoid spoilers. She requested that I call it a “world-building mystery game which centers on intense interpersonal role-play with very little dice rolling.” Let's just say her friends are suitably trapped. They find themselves in a scenario that offers no possible return to what we might call normal and good. So the moral spectrum must be recalibrated. They must work toward building a new future, even if the path includes occasional cannibalism.

Bowls in hand, we relocated to the bash'house's eating nook. This is also where Palmer likes to perform her music, as she did a few times during my visit. The ceiling is tall and arched, like the hallways of a cloister, and offers acoustics befitting a motet. She writes songs about sci-fi futures and mythological pasts in, you might almost guess, Renaissance-style polyphony.

Palmer's Voltaire encounter happened in college. She read a short story of his called “Micromégas.” Considered one of the earliest examples of science fiction, it describes a pair of giant aliens from Saturn and the Sirius system arriving on Earth and discovering, by squinting, millions of tiny sentient beings. The story is concerned mainly with what form of Providence can unite these three worlds.

To modern ears, this may seem an odd question to ask on first contact. But it was the question of Voltaire's time—what sort of plan there is, and what it means for how to live and how to rule. His point in the story, since remade many times over by the process of scientific discovery, was that it was pompous of humans to assume we could discern how the universe really operates from our limited perspective here on Earth. His giants looked upon our pride with mirthful pity.

Why had so much science fiction stopped asking these fundamental questions? Palmer wondered. How could she ask them? “I wanted to paint a portrait of a god I would respect, even if that god does not exist and isn't good or kind,” she told me. Sometimes that god “feels more like our universe than the good, kind one does.” Like Wolfe, who shaped the metaphysics of Book of the New Sun around his own Catholic views, Palmer would incorporate her own hodgepodge of theological and intellectual influences—a divine plan shaped by a historian's view of how society actually progresses.

She began by asking what things were changing rapidly in Voltaire's time and had continued to do so in ours. Surely, she could assume those same things would be different 400 years from now. One pressing question of the time was whether religion could exist without war. So what if, in some hypothetical future, theological discussion was banned in the aftermath of a global Church War? And what if they also got rid of the language for gender in an effort to eliminate, once and for all, the oppressive gender roles that had begun to unravel centuries earlier? Neither were futures she desired when she dug into the particulars—and they have, at times, gotten her in trouble with 21st-century readers. But they were also plausible expressions, she thought, of where progress was taking us.

The characters in Terra Ignota struggle, as anyone does, with how to question and resist the limitations of their era. Mycroft, pushing against the “neutering” and “prudish” norms of 2454, spends much of the series compulsively speculating about strangers' genders. At one point, he discovers that some of the same world leaders who enforce the rules are members of an underground “Gendered Sex Club,” where guests enjoy “reenactments of Eighteenth Century intimacy” in classically masculine and feminine attire. They discuss theology while in the act. (“A most thrilling erotic talk,” Palmer writes.)

As Palmer thought about the technology that should populate her world, she did so again as a student of progress. I listed a few of the inventions that seem to define Terra Ignota, which include the hypersonic cars, trackers that keep tabs on their users' well-being (and every move), and whatever technology goes into terraforming Mars.

“Look what you left out,” she said. There were robots that did the cleaning and managed the trash, kitchen trees and bioengineered algae that grew all varieties of food. I had failed to read her world like a historian. “People don't explain technology that is ubiquitous,” she said. Her characters ramble on about the flying car because it is “world-defining,” perhaps as we might ramble on about smartphones or artificial intelligence today—even though, she pointed out, ours is “also the age of Ikea figuring out how to outsource the assembly of furniture.” That says as much about our time as an iPhone.

Palmer began outlining Terra Ignota in her first year of grad school at Harvard, where she was working on a PhD in Renaissance history. (The name of the series is a variation on the Latin for “unknown land.”) The subject of her dissertation was the Roman scholar Lucretius, whose philosophical poem De Rerum Natura (“On the Nature of Things”) was rediscovered by German monks in the early 15th century and became a sensation among Renaissance thinkers.

The poem describes a new physics. Everything in the cosmos, Lucretius wrote—people, mountains, water, birds—consists of a common matter, made up of atoms. His model could explain how lightning “ripens” in clouds, how earthquakes are caused by gusts of subterranean wind. And his physics had a startling metaphysical upshot: A universe of matter does not require the input of gods to operate.

Niccolò Machiavelli, who is one of Palmer's idols, copied the poem out by hand. He seems to have thought that atomism was bunk, but that the concept of a do-nothing deity was useful. Unlike most people of his era, he believed that a person should live and rule according to what people need, not what God wants. (Palmer has called this his “closed-lid system”: Only things that happen inside the aquarium should matter to the inhabitants of the aquarium, whether or not there are divine forces changing the water.)

Machiavelli's contemporaries had a range of reactions. Some denied the theory of atomism; some satirized it; some engaged in a good-faith debate about a bizarre-sounding idea. But today, Palmer says, “everyone wants them to be secret atheists.” It suits our presentist vanities to think of them as “the quasi-rationalist freethinkers who fashioned modernity.” Palmer suspects that Machiavelli would find this amusing. He was a vice president, essentially, of the Florentine Republic. No one is supposed to remember vice presidents. But ideas travel this way—indirectly, along routes you weren't expecting, sometimes in disguise.

So what would Voltaire make of the modern world? Palmer likes to imagine him showing up in our time. “He would say, ‘Oh my God, you've eliminated smallpox, and look at your women, who are so alive and controlling their bodies! Divorce is so much easier; that's wonderful. And oh my God, you went to the moon, and science fiction is a whole giant genre! And everyone is mostly naked all the time. And geography is weird, and the continents are different, and Europe is one country in a confusing way, and you have Christian-Muslim religious wars and anti-vaxxers,’” Palmer says. He would be “amazed and delighted” and “curmudgeonly uncomfortable.”

The future is weird, but it's also familiar. This is why Palmer's characters go on bad dates and retrieve steaming cobblers from their 25th-century ovens. They have domestic spats and debate how to best raise their children, much as the Greeks did millennia ago.

The ceiling in the bash’house library is painted with Ptolemy’s geocentric model of the cosmos. (The stars and planets are custom vinyl stickers from Etsy.)

Photograph: EVAN SHEEHAN AND ALEX WALLBAUM

In palmer's newest book, Perhaps the Stars, the system of flying cars has gone down; everyone is stuck at home, or stranded wherever they happen to be. War has broken out; one faction seems intent on embracing technological progress but leaving everyone else behind. Miracles, which the characters have witnessed and philosophized about throughout the series—are they divine? invented? the product of an extraterrestrial science that humans have yet to understand?—grow harder to trust. Cynicism and a fatalistic optimism have led a mostly good world to rot, and now the humans, with all these great forces bearing down on them, must see if they have it in themselves to build something better in its place.

Recently, I told Palmer about a cryptocurrency conference in San Francisco that included a seminar about how Covid will produce a golden era, like the Black Death produced the Renaissance. She's been hearing that one a lot. Where to start? Perhaps with the historiographical crime of labeling one age dark and another golden, or the idea that a bacterium or a virus could be the singular cause of societal progress. It's dangerous to put such stock in a version of Providence that guarantees a certain result, Palmer said. We are less likely to tend to the real problems the pandemic has exposed. Everyone she knows is tired—from fear, from isolation, from intractable politics that fail to deal with climate change and inequality. Even a Utopian might start to feel the future is out of our hands, that the tank has already turned to muck.

Before the pandemic, Palmer sometimes traveled to San Francisco, either to raise money for the teaching of the classics or to attend salon-like dinners in the homes of fans, many of them tech workers. She also once consulted with GitHub on a “PR stunt” that involved storing code bases under Arctic ice. These are people who are obsessed with maximizing their impact on the world, she says, but who aren't sure they're going about it the right way. They ask her how they can foresee the repercussions of the things they will do. “How would the inventors of glitter have imagined that they would poison manatees?” she asked. “You feel this kind of paralysis.”

If they are looking for affirmation, Palmer cannot offer that. She is not an oracle here to tell them that they are agents of change bearing technological gifts that will eventually matter. The wisdom she provides, the journalist and sci-fi writer Cory Doctorow told me, comes in the form of “altitude.” Reading her fiction, he said, “we can see over the hill and see paths that weren't visible to us,” whether personal or societal. Palmer can remind technologists that progress has given them modern ethics and environmental science—practical tools that the inventors of glitter lacked.

Palmer compares those conversations with Silicon Valley's embrace of Stoicism, which is another way to resolve the manatee problem. Stoics believe in a form of rigid Providence, a universe that is one being and that operates according to a plan. This can be a beautiful thing. It means that however painful the inputs of life are, it is possible to respond to them with a sense of inner peace. Palmer of all people can appreciate that. But the philosophy can also be dangerous. In the hands of the rich and powerful, she says, such firm belief in Providence can mean that they no longer think the world needs to change, that their own fortune is proof that they have already done enough.

Last summer, a tech billionaire rode to space on his own rocket. Palmer, who had cried at every launch she watched since childhood, did not cry at this one. She does not believe that space, or progress itself, will be the prize of some preordained man of history. What moves her is collective achievement. She has even written a song about it, called “Somebody Will.” It tells of the accountants who do payroll for the metalworkers who make parts for rockets, the booksellers who sell the books that inspire people to act in the pursuit of something out of reach. Each exerts a little force on the future, like the accumulating photons behind a solar sail.

In our final hours together inside her bungalow in the sky, Palmer asked whether she could sing for me. She had mostly been performing songs about the Norse gods Odin and Loki, who inspired her next sci-fi series, a retelling of Norse myth through the lens of Palmerian progress. It was after midnight, and she roused a bash'mate who was dozing off on a couch for a duet. We set off for the acoustically favorable nook.

Palmer affixed me with an intense gaze as she sang the story of a universe that does not ask why there is evil, but why there is good. The world should be cold and dead like the tundra, after all, a barren rock hurtling through space. So why was there light?


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